Curt Popejoy
June 29, 2024 11:35 am ET
ESPN’s Mike Clay put out his projections for the Pittsburgh Steelers for the upcoming season and this includes the win probability for the Steelers in each of their games on the 2024 regular-season schedule. Clay doesn’t have much faith in the Steelers as he only gives the Steelers a better than 50 percent chance to win only five games on the 17-game slate.
Here is ESPN’s win probability for every game on the Steelers schedule.
Week 1 – Sept 8 – At Falcons
Sep 10, 2023; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; Atlanta Falcons head coach Arthur Smith reacts to a call during the game against the Carolina Panthers during the second half at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports
46 percent
Week 2 – Sept 15 – At Broncos
Oct 29, 2023; Denver, Colorado, USA; Denver Broncos wide receiver Courtland Sutton (14) following the win over the Kansas City Chiefs at Empower Field at Mile High. Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports
65 percent
Week 3 – Sept 22 – vs Chargers
INGLEWOOD, CALIFORNIA – NOVEMBER 21: Justin Herbert #10 of the Los Angeles Chargers is sacked by Derrek Tuszka #48 of the Pittsburgh Steelers in the second quarter of the game at SoFi Stadium on November 21, 2021 in Inglewood, California. (Photo by Sean M. Haffey/Getty Images)
60 percent
Week 4 – Sept 29 – At Colts
Dec 16, 2023; Indianapolis, Indiana, USA; Indianapolis Colts wide receiver Michael Pittman Jr. (11) collides with Pittsburgh Steelers safety Damontae Kazee (23) during a game against the Pittsburgh Steelers at Lucas Oil Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Robert Scheer-USA TODAY Sports
49 percent
Week 5 - Oct 6 - vs Cowboys
Sep 8, 2019; Arlington, TX, USA; Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott (4) and offensive guard Connor Williams (52) in action during the game between the Cowboys and the Giants at AT&T Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports
38 percent
Week 6 - Oct 13 - At Raiders
HENDERSON, NEVADA – JUNE 07: Wide receiver Davante Adams #17 of the Las Vegas Raiders catches a pass during mandatory minicamp at the Las Vegas Raiders Headquarters/Intermountain Healthcare Performance Center on June 07, 2022 in Henderson, Nevada. (Photo by Ethan Miller/Getty Images)
62 percent
Week 7 - Oct 20 - vs Jets (SNF)
Oct 1, 2023; East Rutherford, New Jersey, USA; New York Jets injured quarterback Aaron Rodgers (8) pre game at MetLife Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Robert Deutsch-USA TODAY Sports
36 percent
Week 8 - Oct 28 - vs Giants ( MNF)
Sep 14, 2020; East Rutherford, New Jersey, USA; New York Giants quarterback Daniel Jones (8) runs the ball while Pittsburgh Steelers strong safety Terrell Edmunds (34) defends during the third quarter at MetLife Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Robert Deutsch-USA TODAY Sports
76 percent
Week 9 - Nov 3 - Bye Week
Oct 8, 2023; Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA; Pittsburgh Steelers fans cheer on their team against the Baltimore Ravens during the third quarter at Acrisure Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Philip G. Pavely-USA TODAY Sports
Week 10 - Nov 10 - At Commanders
PITTSBURGH, PENNSYLVANIA – DECEMBER 07: Terry McLaurin #17 of the Washington Football Team attempts to catch a pass against Joe Haden #23 and Minkah Fitzpatrick #39 of the Pittsburgh Steelers during the second quarter of their game at Heinz Field on December 07, 2020 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Justin K. Aller/Getty Images)
65 percent
Week 11 - Nov 17 - vs Ravens
Dec 5, 2021; Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA; Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson (8) carries the ball as Pittsburgh Steelers defensive tackle Montravius Adams (57) defends during the second quarter at Heinz Field. Mandatory Credit: Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports
36 percent
Week 12 - Nov 21 - At Browns (TNF)
Jan 10, 2021; Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA; Cleveland Browns running back Nick Chubb (24) runs the ball against Pittsburgh Steelers inside linebacker Vince Williams (98) during the first quarter at Heinz Field. The Browns won 48-37. Mandatory Credit: Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports
35 percent
Week 13 - Dec 1 - At Bengals
CINCINNATI, OHIO – NOVEMBER 26: Ja’Marr Chase #1 of the Cincinnati Bengals catches a pass in front of Joey Porter Jr. #24 of the Pittsburgh Steelers at Paycor Stadium on November 26, 2023 in Cincinnati, Ohio. (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images)
36 percent
Week 14 - Dec 8 - vs Browns
Oct 31, 2021; Cleveland, Ohio, USA; Pittsburgh Steelers cornerback Joe Haden (23) tackles Cleveland Browns running back Nick Chubb (24) during the second half at FirstEnergy Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports
43 percent
Week 15 - Dec 15 - At Eagles
Oct 30, 2022; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts (1) passes the ball past Pittsburgh Steelers safety Minkah Fitzpatrick (39) during the first quarter at Lincoln Financial Field. Mandatory Credit: Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports
41 percent
Week 16 - Dec 21 - At Ravens (Saturday)
PITTSBURGH, PENNSYLVANIA – OCTOBER 08: Lamar Jackson #8 of the Baltimore Ravens attempts a pass during the first quarter against the Pittsburgh Steelers at Acrisure Stadium on October 08, 2023 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Joe Sargent/Getty Images)
28 percent
Week 17 - Dec 25 - vs Chiefs (Christmas)
Jan 16, 2022; Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) throws a pass while pressured by Pittsburgh Steelers outside linebacker Alex Highsmith (56) during the first half in an AFC Wild Card playoff football game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports
36 percent
Week 18 - Jan 5 - vs Bengals
Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow (9) evades a sack from Pittsburgh Steelers linebacker T.J. Watt (90) in the third quarter of of the NFL Week 11 game between the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Cincinnati Bengals at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh on Sunday, Nov. 20, 2022. The Bengals won 37-30.
Cincinnati Bengals At Pittsburgh Steelers Week 11
43 percent
